We better understand the reason for Christian Estrosi’s commitment to “his” anti-FN campaign.
In fact, even though each election is never a carbon copy of the previous one, in the PACA Region, the National Front could become the majority.
In December 2015, Marion Le Pen had obtained 45% of the votes against Christian Estrosi in the runoff for the regional presidency.
If the forecasts are confirmed by the ballots, the FN candidate will lead the vote with 50.5%. A unique result in the country, which would give the PACA Region the title of the most right-wing region in France.
Even if there would be no repercussions on the regional executive, it is easy to imagine there would be one, politically.
After the presidential election, there will be the legislative elections and the evident porosity of the right-wing electorate between the Republicans and the FN supporters could tip some duels in an unfavorable direction.
It is the only region where Marine Le Pen is the majority in voting intentions. The FN candidate is credited with 50.5% of the votes in PACA for the second round of the presidential election, according to the Cevipof/Ipsos. Emmanuel Macron would obtain 49.5%.
Voting forecasts for Marine Le Pen in other regions:
Hauts de France 49.5%; Grand Est 47.5; Bourgogne Franche Comtรฉ 45.5; Occitanie and Normandy 43.5; Centre-Val de Loire 43, Auvergne Rhรดne Alpes 40; Nouvelle Aquitaine 37; Pays de Loire 36; Brittany and Ile de France 31.
