Economic Recovery: The Government Lays Its Cards on the Table

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The Government has unveiled its recovery plan to “regain our pre-crisis level of wealth by 2022.” Key points: โ‚ฌ100 billion; it is the “most massive plan among major European countries” and “four times more than during the 2008 crisis.”

In detail: three main areas:
1) โ‚ฌ30 billion for the ecological transition (thermal renovation of buildings, support for companies’ energy transition)
2) โ‚ฌ35 billion for competitiveness, including a โ‚ฌ20 billion reduction in production taxes and โ‚ฌ11 billion in innovation aid.
3) โ‚ฌ35 billion for social and territorial cohesion, with โ‚ฌ14 billion for employment โ€” targeting especially young people โ€” and โ‚ฌ6 billion for hospitals.

From the โ‚ฌ100 billion recovery plan, the main takeaway is a deliberate objective: to prioritize businesses (cutting production taxes or investment aids). Of the โ‚ฌ90 billion GDP lost in the first half of the year due to the crisis, the State absorbed 55% (decrease in tax revenue, increase in aid), households 5% (partial unemployment)โ€ฆ and businesses 40%.

It therefore makes sense that decisions favor supply more than demand (households’ purchasing power)โ€ฆ


In detail:

The โ‚ฌ30 billion for the energy transition

Within the โ‚ฌ11 billion allocated to transport, the SNCF is expected to receive โ‚ฌ4.7 billion to redevelop rail freight, particularly the Perpignan-Rungis line, smaller lines, and two night train lines. The rest will be directed towards daily mobility, covering bicycle plans and public transport development.

In the โ‚ฌ7 billion planned for energy renovation of buildings, public buildings (schools, universities, etc.) will be primarily targeted with โ‚ฌ4 billion. About โ‚ฌ2 billion will remain for households via the MaPrimeRรฉnov’ grant, accessible to all households without income limits from January 1, 2021.

Finally, according to announcements, โ‚ฌ9 billion will be allocated to support companies in their energy transition, notably through research and innovation, including โ‚ฌ2 billion to develop “green” hydrogen, which does not depend on hydrocarbons for production. Regarding other measures, a budget is planned for biodiversity, and โ‚ฌ300 million will go to accelerating the renovation of water networks, especially overseas.

The โ‚ฌ35 billion for competitiveness

The plan aims to reduce production taxes by โ‚ฌ10 billion in 2021 and then in 2022 (i.e., โ‚ฌ20 billion over two years), a measure intended to be permanent. This will involve halving the contribution on companies’ added value (i.e., โ‚ฌ7 billion) and halving the property taxes on industrial sites. This reduction in production taxes will benefit 42% to medium-sized enterprises (ETIs), 32% to SMEs, and 26% to large companies, according to the government.

The โ‚ฌ11 billion planned in the upcoming Investments for the Future Program (PIA) will be channeled into the recovery plan and will especially include innovation aids from Bpifrance. The โ‚ฌ3 billion in support for companies’ equity will be granted via a public guarantee associated with participatory loans provided by banks or funds that would be state-labeled. The government hopes to create a leverage effect and mobilize the banking sector for between โ‚ฌ10 and โ‚ฌ15 billion.

The State will subsidize industrial development in regions to the tune of โ‚ฌ1 billion, with โ‚ฌ400 million for the existing “industry territories” scheme and โ‚ฌ600 million for a call for projects on relocating production in France. Finally, โ‚ฌ385 million will be allocated for the digital transition of very small and medium-sized enterprises.

The โ‚ฌ35 billion for social and territorial cohesion

A youth employment plan, endowed with โ‚ฌ6.5 billion, already passed this summer, includes in particular a โ‚ฌ4,000 aid for hiring a young person under 25 for a contract of at least three months, bonuses for hiring young people in alternation, integration contracts, or extended civic service. Added to this is an “anti-unemployment shield,” which will be deployed through long-term partial activity (โ‚ฌ6.6 billion) and a strengthening of the FNE-Training scheme, focused particularly on future sectors (โ‚ฌ1 billion).

For the rest, โ‚ฌ5.2 billion will support investment by local authorities. Approximately โ‚ฌ6 billion, unlocked within the Sรฉgur de la santรฉ, is planned for supporting hospital investment. Among social aids, there is a โ‚ฌ200 million increase in the poverty and anti-exclusion plan. There is a bit more than โ‚ฌ5 billion left whose details are not yet known, but it is known that โ‚ฌ350 million is planned to finance the renovation of endangered bridges in various territories.

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