Emmanuel Macron maintains his status as the favorite.

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Five days before the second round of the presidential election, the candidate from En Marche!, taking into account the margin of error, gathers between 57% and 63% of voting intentions against Marine Le Pen, according to an Ipsos/Sopra Steria poll for France Télévisions and Radio France.

The National Front candidate would obtain between 37% and 43% of the votes.

75% of those polled plan to vote on Sunday.


Emmanuel Macron benefits from much better vote transfers than Marine Le Pen: 76% of Benoît Hamon’s voters, 49% of François Fillon’s voters, and 47% of Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s voters indeed intend to vote for the former Minister of Economy.

Conversely, 25% of François Fillon’s voters, 19% of Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s voters, and 5% of Benoît Hamon’s voters plan to cast a ballot for Le Pen.

The other voters plan to abstain or vote blank (34% of Mélenchon supporters, 26% of Fillon supporters, and 19% of Hamon supporters).

The participation index is close to the first round (77.8%), which varies significantly from one electorate to another: 90% of Emmanuel Macron’s first-round voters and 87% of Marine Le Pen’s plan to vote on Sunday, a level that drops to 76% among François Fillon’s supporters and 71% among Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s.

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